S. Ojoye

From Rainfall to River Stage: A Parsimonious Regression Model for Flood Forecasting on the River Niger at Lokoja and its Implications for Flood Risk Governance in Nigeria

Lokoja, situated at the confluence of the Rivers Niger and Benue, has experienced recurrent and severe flooding, most notably in 2012, 2018, 2020 and 2022. Successive structural interventions — embankments, levees, channelisation and channel widening — have failed to arrest the annual pattern of loss, indicating that t...