Rui-Ting Zhao

Forecasting Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis Incidence in Henan, China: A Comparative Study of Seasonal Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models

The SARFIMA model offers improved forecasting accuracy over SARIMA for AHC incidence in most metrics, suggesting its potential utility for public health surveillance, although RMSE values were comparable between models.