Future Redistribution of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Risk in Two Contrasting CMIP6 Scenarios
We analyze North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity using the Columbia HAZard model to downscale 12 models from CMIP6 under the SSP1‐2.6 and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios—representing low and high radiative forcing, respectively. Despite greater warming under SSP5‐8.5, basin‐wide North Atlantic TC frequency is not consistent...