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Author

Pier Marzocca

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Aug 2026

Machine-Learning-Based Real-Time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity

The release of stores from internal carriage configurations in modern aircraft requires precise modeling due to the highly unsteady flow dynamics involved. Traditional methods for predicting store trajectories are often computationally intensive, making real-time predictions challenging. In this study, we develop a data-driven reduced-order model (ROM) capable of accurately predicting the real-time trajectory of a store released from an internal cavity. Using data generated from two-dimensional inviscid computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, we employ dynamic-time-warping-based clustering to group similar cases and proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) for mode reduction. A support-vector-machine-based regression model is then used to predict the POD components for new cases. The proposed ROM successfully predicts the [Formula: see text]-position, [Formula: see text]-position, and orientation of the store with moderate to satisfactory accuracy when compared to CFD simulations. However, limitations in predicting higher-order POD modes, particularly for the [Formula: see text]-position, indicate areas for future improvement. Despite these challenges, the proposed ROM shows significant promise for efficiently predicting store trajectories, making it a viable solution for real-time analysis in defense and aerospace applications.

Arpan Das, Errol Hale, Michael Candon et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

Neural Differential Equations for Oscillatory Flows in Aeroelasticity Applied to Transonic Buffet

Self-excited aerodynamic flows arise across a broad range of systems and can drive nonlinear fluid-structure interactions and aeroelastic instabilities that are challenging and computationally expensive to predict. This paper presents a physics-guided neural differential equation (DE) reduced order model (ROM) combining a nonlinear fluid oscillator, a finite-memory multi-input Volterra series, and a compact neural network correction. The multi-input aerodynamic formulation is generalized to m structural modes, capturing direct and nonlinear cross-modal coupling. The model is identified from a single prescribed-motion CFD simulation with simultaneous excitation of all retained structural modes, and is then coupled with the structural equations of motion for efficient aeroelastic prediction. Applied to transonic buffet over the ONERA OAT15A airfoil, the time-marching ROM predicts aeroelastic stability, frequency lock-in, and limit cycle amplitudes in good agreement with full-order reference solutions. The ROM is used to provide substantial new insight into buffet-induced aeroelastic instabilities involving more than one structural mode.

Michael Candon, Pier Marzocca, Earl H. Dowell · 0 citations

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