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Peter M. Cox

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Open access Sep 2026

Developing an Early Warning Indicator for strongly forced systems far from equilibrium: increased variance of the quasi-equilibrium

Early Warning Indicators (EWIs) have been developed in an attempt to forewarn of approaching tipping points. In the case of bifurcation-induced tipping (Ashwin et al., 2012), the most commonly used EWIs are related to the phenomenon of 'Critical Slowing Down (CSD)', which involves an increase in the variance and auto...

Isobel M. Parry, Paul D. L. Ritchie, Peter M. Cox · 0 citations

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