Forecasting the USD/EUR daily and monthly rate with machine learning techniques
Theophilos Papadimitriou, Periklis Gogas, V. Plakandaras
· 1 citation
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Open access
Jul 2026
Sovereign Ratings and Risk Pricing, Agency Divergences in the European Union
Using annual EU-27 data for 1995-2024, we examine whether sovereign ratings mainly reflect common macro-fiscal fundamentals or whether agency-specific departures from that benchmark are also priced into sovereign funding conditions. Pooled ordered probits and a machine-learning diagnostic layer for nonlinearities and t...
António Afonso, José Alves, Periklis Gogas et al.
· CESifo working papers · 0 citations