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Ningxin Su

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Preprint Aug 2026

When Replanning Becomes the Bottleneck: Budgeted Replanning for Embodied Agents

Embodied agents replan frequently to recover from execution drift, partial observability, and coordination hazards, but each LLM-based replanning call can consume an accumulated textual context that grows over time and across agents. Once this context becomes large, replanning latency develops heavy tails and can miss real-time deadlines even when task success remains high, a failure mode that is hard to detect from average latency or success alone. We present BRACE, a controller that formulates replanning as a budgeted control loop by deciding whether to replan, selecting a replanning mode, and allocating an explicit token budget and latency service-level objective (SLO) while accounting for optional efficiency modules. As a reusable component, we introduce E-RECAP, a cost-aware progressive token pruning method that predicts token utility and prunes replanning contexts across transformer layers while preserving critical head and tail tokens. Across Meta Habitat, RoboFactory, and AirSim, BRACE with E-RECAP reduces replanning-call token counts by 62-92% and SLO violation rates from 85.5-100.0% to 4.7-50.0% in settings where task success is already saturated. In a harder RoboFactory setting where open-loop, frozen-plan, and No BRACE all fail, BRACE + E-RECAP reaches 80.0% success with 4.6% SLO violations, demonstrating that tail-aware per-call budgeting is effective across embodied platforms.

Shuaijun Liu, Feiyang You, Xingwei Chen et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

How Wrong Can a Good Predictor Be? Diverging Updates with Vanishing Predictive KL

Accurate posterior prediction need not require accurate approximation of Bayesian updates. We prove that an unbounded gap between the update maps can coexist with vanishing predictive KL for every fixed finite $K\ge2$ in a stationary symmetric Gaussian HMM. Exact Bayesian mixing and an explicit deterministic radial filter act on the same $K-1$ belief coordinates. As $q\to0^+$, their separation in centered logits in the worst case grows at least linearly in the natural confidence scale $L_K(q)$, while their categorical $D_{\mathrm{KL}}(\mathrm{exact}\|\mathrm{radial})$ vanishes at the same explicit witness. Along stationary HMM trajectories, the expected terminal KL between filtered posteriors also converges to zero at $H(q)=\lceil-\log(q)/c\rceil+1$. Typical blocks without switches drive both filters into a common confidence cone, where softmax curvature suppresses their disagreement; a single Gaussian maximal event controls adaptive noise. A sweep with equally spaced Gaussians over $K\in\{2,4,8\}$ illustrates the opposing trends, and binary controls at long horizons compare saturating and nonsaturating recurrences. The result isolates two missing links between internal update gaps and predictive cost: the contribution of separating states to expected loss and decoder sensitivity. Thus even an unbounded internal update gap does not by itself certify predictive failure. The construction is fixed in $K$ and does not provide a universal criterion for when compression is harmless or characterize when internal gaps must incur task loss.

Qi-Fu Wen, Shuai Liu, Zihan Zhou et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

The Gate, Not the Cache: Gate Provenance Bounds the Closed-Loop Reliability of Training-Free VLA Token Skipping

Token skipping is a widely used training-free way to accelerate vision--language--action (VLA) models by bypassing computation for most visual tokens at each control step according to a gate. When the next gate is harvested from the previous accelerated forward, however, the tokens skipped at one step are also the ones least visible to the next gate, and the damage can compound across control steps until the task fails. We study the two mechanisms this class is built on, reuse and deletion, crossing each against where its gate signal comes from on identical episodes. At a skip ratio of 0.9 on LIBERO-Object, both collapse when the gate comes from the model's own accelerated forwards, to 0.68 under reuse and to 0.31 under deletion against a dense 1.00, and the collapse is invisible to the action-level detectors we evaluate. What separates collapse from dense-level operation is not the mechanism but whether the gate is clean, computed by a forward that skipped nothing. We therefore propose actuation-slack refresh, one dense pass run while the robot executes its current action chunk, off the critical path, that hands the next step a clean gate and a fresh KV base. Since the measured detectors do not reliably reveal the failure, the refresh is unconditional rather than triggered. Both mechanisms then recover to 0.98, keeping the speed of skipping and the information of a dense pass. We then integrate the refresh into state-of-the-art caching and pruning methods across two VLA policies, 4 LIBERO suites, and 4 SIMPLER tasks, where it repairs every collapse caused by using a self-harvested gate. Serve latency drops 18--22\% below dense, measured both in simulation and on a physical robot. Where the gate signal comes from, not how tokens are skipped, decides closed-loop reliability for accelerated VLAs.

Qi Luo, Shuaijun Liu, Hao Zhao et al. · 0 citations

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