M. Su

Probabilistic Forecasting of Multi-Energy Loads in Integrated Energy Systems via Condition-Aware Dynamic Coupling Routing and Conformal Quantile Calibration

This paper proposes DCR-PatchTST-CQ, a unified multi-task probabilistic forecasting framework that combines condition-aware dynamic routing combined with stratified conformal calibration to jointly improve quantile ordering, interval sharpness, and coverage reliability.