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Author

Mehmet M. Dalkilic

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Preprint Sep 2026

Oracle Gaps in Reliability Coverage: Sampling Noise or Policy Specialization?

Policies trained from the same base model can appear to solve different problems. An oracle that chooses the best policy for each problem may therefore appear much stronger than any single policy. Selecting the largest estimated success rate also selects favorable sampling errors. We study this effect through reliabili...

Mert Onur Cakiroglu, M. Dalkilic, H. Kurban · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Jul 2026

When Does Retrieval Help Time-Series Forecasting?

It is shown that the benefit belongs instead to the operating point: the relation between window length $S$ and dominant seasonal period $L$, an axis the standard protocol never varies, which exposes the regime.

Mert Onur Cakiroglu, Elham Buxton, M. Dalkilic et al. · 0 citations
Jul 2026

Cross-Lingual Transfer for Machine Translation in Turkic Languages

It is found that transfer is strongest between closely related Turkic pairs, especially Turkish-Azerbaijani and Kazakh-Kyrgyz and that the same transfer source-transfer target pair can behave differently when the translation target changes.

Omer Burak Cinar, Mehmet M. Dalkilic, Cagri Toraman · 0 citations

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