Author

Levent Bulut

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Open access Oct 2026

Learning Whom to Trust: Machine-Learning Aggregation of Analyst Earnings Forecasts

Analyst consensus forecasts are widely used in investment decisions and as proxies for market expectations, yet they typically assign equal weight to component forecasts despite predictable differences in quality. We develop a constrained machine-learning framework that predicts each forecast’s relative quality from 29...

Levent Bulut, Sami Keskek, Abdullah Kumas · Journal of Risk and Financia... · 0 citations

#natural language process... Preprint Sep 2026

Inter-Rater Reliability of LLM and Rule-Based Annotation for Inferential Narrative Features: Three Studies on a Turkish Corpus

This report answers that for the Objective Projection corpus, a Turkish narrative dataset whose scenes carry a per-scene applied_rules field from a rule-based detector over six craft features -- two prohibitions (emotion labelling, simile) and four positive techniques (materialized metaphor, micro-focus, temporal ancho...

Levent Bulut · 0 citations