Drought prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation, yet it remains challenging because regional droughts reflect nonlinear interactions among precipitation supply, evaporative demand, and slowly varying land atmosphere states. Although time series foundation models (TSFMs) have shown strong zero shot performance in...
Wen-Tao Gao, Jiuyong Li, Lin Liu et al.· Proceedings of the Thirty-Fi...· 0 citations
A lightweight, black-box adaptation framework that enhances frozen TSFMs at inference time through two plug-and-play wrappers that consistently improves forecasting performance across several backbone models, demonstrating up to 26% mean squared error reduction over the corresponding frozen backbone while enabling prac...
Wen-Tao Gao, Jiu-Yong Li, Lin Liu et al.· Proceedings of the 32nd ACM...· 1 citation
TranCE (Transported Causal Effects), a doubly-robust algorithm combining an interventional outcome model, a domain density-ratio correction, and cross-fitted inference, is presented, which has the potential to improve intervention strategies in networked systems, particularly in social networks and public health.
Xiaojing Du, Jiuyong Li, Lin Liu et al.· 0 citations
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