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Jhao-Hong Peng

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Preprint Aug 2026

Conditional-path Monte Carlo for rare stochastic dynamics on networks: Details and derivations

This paper provides the rigorous mathematical foundations and algorithmic details underlying the CPMC framework, and details a dynamic programming scheme to exactly implement complex boundary conditions - including patient-zero and macroscopic outbreak-size constraints - enabling the rejection-free generation of valid trajectories.

Thomas Barthel, Jiazheng Sun, Jhao-Hong Peng · 1 citation

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