Hui Yuan

Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and XGBoost Ensemble

A VMD-XGBoost ensemble method for enhancing the accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power forecasting at 2-4 hour horizons. The original power series is decomposed into intrinsic mode functions by variational mode decomposition (VMD), and separate XGBoost models, with lagged features, are built for each component, with f...