This paper addresses the need for multi-source data fusion and risk early warning in slope monitoring by proposing a modeling method that integrates data calibration, feature interpretation, and hierarchical early warning. First, linear regression is used to calibrate fiber-optic displacement data, and data consistency is improved through anomaly removal, multiple interpolation, and wavelet denoising. Subsequently, a LightGBM regression model is constructed to characterize the nonlinear relationship between surface displacement and factors such as rainfall, pore water pressure, microseismic events, and deep-seated displacement. The SHAP method is introduced to explain the contributions of each factor, thereby enhancing the interpretability of the model results. Building on this, Lasso regression is used to screen for key variables and reduce redundant information, followed by the establishment of a probabilistic representation of displacement velocity and graded early warning thresholds based on the Weibull distribution. This method balances prediction accuracy, physical plausibility, and engineering applicability, and can serve as a reference for identifying complex slope deformations, analyzing key controlling factors, and making risk warning decisions.
The search and discovery of underwater shipwreck sites represent the most arduous and critical phases of underwater archaeology. Wooden shipwrecks, in particular, are characterized by low acoustic impedance contrast and weak magnetic anomalies, coupled with their limited physical dimensions. Consequently, they predominantly exist as shallow-buried, discontinuous small targets scattered within confined areas, making their detection exceptionally challenging. Furthermore, the complexity of the submarine environment—including rugged topography, turbid water columns, and strong currents—poses formidable obstacles to the effective detection of these archaeological remains. Single geophysical methods are often limited by insufficient imaging resolution, interpretation ambiguity, and geological noise, making precise localization and characterization difficult. Focusing on the Nan’ao I Ming Dynasty shipwreck located in waters approximately 24 m deep off the coast of Nan’ao, Guangdong Province, China, this study proposes and validates an “acoustic-magnetic” multi-source data integration detection method. This approach systematically integrates high-resolution multibeam echo sounding (MBES), side-scan sonar (SSS), sub-bottom profiling (SBP), and marine magnetic data to establish a comprehensive framework for identification and integration analysis. The results indicate that the MBES bathymetric data reveal a regular, elongated structure oriented north–south (approximately 34 m × 12 m), closely matching the main hull and deck configuration. The SSS imagery exhibited high backscatter intensity and parallel linear textures, effectively delineating the hard shipwreck structure and the associated rigid protective frame employed for in situ preservation. SBP data confirmed the semi-buried state of the shipwreck (burial depth of approximately 0.6 m). Spatial variations in sediment thickness around the site suggested ongoing modification by strong hydrodynamic processes. Marine magnetic surveys identified localized negative anomalies (−210 nT relative to the ambient magnetic field), contrasting sharply with the positive anomalies of the surrounding natural reefs, thereby indicating an artificial ferromagnetic source. The spatial registration and feature superposition of multi-source data facilitated the characterization of the shipwreck, demonstrating its potential to mitigate environmental interference and enhance detection reliability in this complex environment. Using the Nan’ao I shipwreck site as a case study, this study provides a detailed characterization of the site’s 3D morphology, burial state, and physical properties. The proposed methodology offers a practical and robust technical solution for underwater shipwreck archaeology in complex nearshore environments, providing significant implications for proactive discovery, efficient investigation, and protection of underwater cultural heritage (UCH).
