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Gefei Zhao

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Preprint Jul 2026

Transit Destination Inference from Tap-In-Only Bus Smart-Card Data: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach

Entry-only automatic fare collection systems record boardings but not alightings, preventing direct construction of origin-destination (OD) matrices. This study develops a Hierarchical Bayesian Latent-Destination (HBLD) model that combines station-hour boarding and inferred alighting demand with passenger card historie...

Gefei Zhao, Jiahe Ling, Yuelong Su · 0 citations

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