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Author

G. Petrillo

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3 papers indexed here

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Preprint Sep 2026

Finite-Horizon Triggering Cores of Earthquake Sequences

Models of triggered seismicity commonly aggregate the contributions of all past earthquakes into a total predicted rate. This aggregation does not distinguish a forecast dominated by one recent earthquake from an equal-rate forecast supported by many events distributed across a longer history, even though these configu...

Didier Sornette, G. Petrillo · 0 citations
Preprint Oct 2026

Is Earthquake Replenishment Sufficient for Unbiased b-Value Estimation?

Short-term aftershock incompleteness biases Gutenberg-Richter b-value estimates because many small earthquakes remain undetected immediately after large events. Two strategies address this problem. Earthquake replenishment reconstructs missing events to restore a more complete catalog, whereas robust positive-differenc...

Herbian Hokky Prabowo, G. Petrillo · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

A Likelihood‐Free Framework for Seismic Forecasting Models: Application to Incomplete ETAS Model via Simulation‐Based Inference

Recent advances in deep‐learning‐based earthquake detection have revolutionized seismology, producing high‐resolution catalogs complete down to very low magnitudes. While these data sets offer an unprecedented view of seismic triggering, their massive scale and inherent short‐term incompleteness pose a major challenge...

P. Bountzis, G. Petrillo, E. Lippiello · 0 citations

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