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F. Beron-Vera

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Preprint Aug 2026

Predictability of El Ni\~no from Delayed Observations

Using monthly Ni\~no-3.4 anomalies through July 2026, we investigate how much predictive information is contained in delayed observations of the index. Ridge regression identifies informative delays, while multilayer perceptron and sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) models test whether nonlinear comple...

F. Beron-Vera · 0 citations