Émilien Joly

Conformal Robust Set Estimation

We introduce a robust conformal prediction method based on the half-mass radius $\dP(x):=\inf\{r>0:P(B(x,r))>1/2\}$. Its empirical version is exactly the distance from a point to its $\mathbf{k}$-th nearest neighbour, with $\mathbf{k}=\lfloor n/2\rfloor+1$. The resulting conformal sets retain finite-sample marginal val...