Diego Restrepo-Leal

Edge-Optimized Reservoir Computing for Forecasting Complex Ecological Systems: Predicting Fishery Collapse with Incomplete Data

Monitoring landings in data-scarce fisheries is hampered by short, noisy series and multi-year reporting gaps. We benchmark Echo State Networks (ESNs) against SARIMA, LightGBM, and LSTM models and against naïve and seasonal-naïve persistence, for one-step-ahead forecasting of the monthly landings (1993–2023) of the sha...