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Daniel Scretching

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#small language model Open access Sep 2026

APPLYING THE SECM–SEFSC AUGMENTED ACM MODEL III TO THE SEPTEMBER 16, 2026 FOMC DECISION: An Ex Ante Scenario Forecast, Consensus-Hike Test, and Post-Event Validation Protocol

This pre-decision research note applies the verified SECM–SEFSC Augmented ACM Model III to the Federal Open Market Committee meeting of September 15–16, 2026. With a 25-basis-point increase in the federal funds target range heavily priced into markets, the analysis argues that the dominant market signal is likely to co...

Daniel Scretching · 0 citations
#small language model Open access Sep 2026

APPLYING THE SECM–SEFSC AUGMENTED ACM MODEL III TO THE SEPTEMBER 16, 2026 FOMC DECISION: An Ex Ante Scenario Forecast, Consensus-Hike Test, and Post-Event Validation Protocol

This pre-decision research note applies the verified SECM–SEFSC Augmented ACM Model III to the Federal Open Market Committee meeting of September 15–16, 2026. With a 25-basis-point increase in the federal funds target range heavily priced into markets, the analysis argues that the dominant market signal is likely to co...

Daniel Scretching · 0 citations

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