Driving world models are often interpreted as counterfactual simulators for observed driving episodes: given a factual driving log, they are asked what would have happened under an alternative ego action. In this paper, we identify a fundamental mismatch between this goal and direct action-conditioned prediction. The direct prediction uses the shared history and the alternative action but not the factual continuation observed after that history. It can therefore generate a plausible future without preserving what actually happened in this episode. We formalize this gap using the causal recipe of abduction, action, and prediction and study it in a setting with a short time horizon, where the alternative ego action does not alter how surrounding agents evolve. To make the gap measurable, we construct a controlled simulation benchmark with factual outcomes and matched counterfactual outcomes. Across two representative world models, direct predictions fail to match the counterfactual ground truth, supporting our analysis. As a constructive check of this analysis, we introduce a deliberately simple, training-free pipeline that moves observed evidence into the counterfactual view and lets the frozen model complete what remains unknown. Even this simple construction raises the overall recovered fraction substantially and reduces perceptual distance to the matched counterfactual on both models. We hope this work draws attention to this gap and motivates better counterfactual prediction methods for driving world models.
Perceived risk in driving evolves over time and may be supported by specific scene entities, yet supervision is typically limited to coarse video-level judgments. Learning \emph{when} supporting evidence emerges and \emph{which entities} support a risk predictor would ordinarily require costly temporal- and entity-level annotations. We introduce \textbf{CoRE}, a weakly supervised coarse-to-fine framework that learns fine-grained prediction support from coarse video supervision. CoRE first trains a video-level predictor and then freezes it. Structured interventions over candidate temporal regions or entity tracks measure how each candidate changes the coarse prediction, producing graded prediction-effect targets. These targets are distilled into a student that directly predicts temporal and entity support from the original video, without requiring interventions at inference. We evaluate this learning principle across three complementary settings: RISEE tests perceived-risk support from subjective clip-level judgments without temporal or entity-level risk annotations; DoTA provides independent temporal event annotations for evaluating weakly supervised traffic-anomaly localization; and UCF-Crime tests whether the same coarse-to-fine mechanism extends to a standard non-driving anomaly-detection benchmark. Across these settings, CoRE learns informative fine-grained support from coarse supervision, with strong temporal localization on DoTA and competitive performance on UCF-Crime. These results show that coarse video predictions can provide useful supervision for recovering the fine-grained evidence supporting them, without requiring corresponding fine-grained labels.
A unified view of post-training for autonomous driving is presented by defining its scope and organizing the existing literature into four major families based on the form of supervision they use, which aim to facilitate a systematic understanding of this emerging area and stimulate future research on reliable and efficient post-training for autonomous driving.
Ruining Yang, Mu Wang, Yi-Xiao Chen et al.· arXiv.org· 1 citation
GlanceWAM is introduced, which decouples imagination from control within a single video DiT: an asynchronous proposer glances ahead on a slow clock to imagine a single lookahead frame seconds into the future in the background, while an action head decodes action chunks at control rate purely in latent space without blocking.
Linhan Wang, Zijian An, Mingyuan Zhang et al.· 0 citations
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