Author

Anuar Aimoldin

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Preprint Sep 2026

Trade-Adaptive Aggregation of Probabilistic Financial Forecasts

Financial NLP systems produce probabilistic forecasts from news, reports, and filings. Prediction markets can aggregate these forecasts sequentially, but their fees must reward information without overcharging low-risk updates. Existing quadratic-fee mechanisms use a state-blind bound, while a local-curvature envelope...

Yankai Chen, Rassul Magauin, Bowei He et al. · 1 citation

#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

Behavioral Latency as Weak Event-Time Supervision for EEG Reaction-Time Decoding

Event-time posterior modeling is established as a probabilistic and interpretable formulation for linking single-trial EEG dynamics to behavioral timing for linking single-trial EEG dynamics to behavioral timing.

Anuar Aimoldin, Ayana Mussabayeva, Yedige Mussabayev et al. · 0 citations