Amiruddin Bin Ab Aziz

Evaluating Time-Series Models for Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever Prediction: Arima vs. Sarima and Exponential Smoothing

This study assesses the performance of three time-series forecasting models—Exponential Smoothing, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA)—in predicting annual DHF cases in Malaysia from 2011 to 2021 and concludes that ARIMA was preferred due to its simplicity and comparable predic...