Preprint
Oct 2026
Reusing Statistical Guarantees Under Change: Selection Costs and Event Ownership
An adaptive system can retain an earlier estimate while changing what that estimate is used to guarantee. The guarantee depends on the experiment that produced the evidence, including how its target was selected and which assumptions connect it to the current claim. We show that past-measurable selection preserves futu...
Ao Li, Weitong Chen Australian Institute for Machine Learning, Adelaide University et al.
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