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A. de Mendonça

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Open access Jul 2026

Machine-learning MRI stratification of genetic frontotemporal dementia for clinical trial enrichment

BACKGROUND Genetic frontotemporal dementia (FTD) shows large differences in symptom profiles, brain atrophy patterns, and progression rate, making clinical trials difficult to design and power. There is a need for biomarkers that can model disease progression, identify biologically distinct groups, and support efficient trial enrichment. METHODS We applied contrastive trajectory inference (cTI), a machine-learning method, to structural MRI, white matter hyperintensity, and demographic data from 736 participants in the GENFI cohort, including non-carriers and carriers of C9orf72, GRN, or MAPT mutations. cTI produced an individual “genetic FTD progression score” (0–1) and grouped mutation carriers into data-driven subtypes. We tested construct validity using correlations between progression score and cognitive/functional measures, examined subtype differences in brain–behavior coupling, plasma neurofilament light (NfL), and longitudinal decline, and compared cTI-based trial enrichment against age, cortical thickness and NfL using analytic and simulation-based power analyses. RESULTS Genetic FTD progression scores correlated strongly with global dementia severity and multiple cognitive domains (all p < 0.001), confirming robust clinical scoring. Two mutation-carrier subtypes emerged: a Progressive Track (Subtype 2) with strong associations between progression score and cognitive/functional impairment, rising NfL, and faster longitudinal decline; and a Dissociated Track (Subtype 3) with comparable levels of structural variation but weak or absent clinical and NfL changes, suggesting relative biological stability. Baseline subtype membership added prognostic value for future decline in processing speed and language beyond baseline severity. Notably, for C9orf72 and GRN, cTI-informed enrichment reduced required recruited sample size per arm by about 61–75% compared with unenriched designs, and outperformed enrichment using age, cortical thickness or NfL in both analytic and simulation-based power analyses. CONCLUSIONS Machine-learning stratification of genetic FTD reveals a progressive and a dissociated disease track and provides individualized progression scores that closely track clinical status. cTI progression scores offer a powerful tool for trial enrichment, enabling smaller, more efficient prevention and early-intervention trials than conventional MRI or NfL markers alone.

M. Soltaninejad, Y. Iturria-medina, A. Bouzigues et al. · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Exome analysis of 22,319 individuals links extremely rare copy-number variants and 22q11.21 dosage to Alzheimer risk.

Copy-number variants (CNVs) are major contributors to human disease. In Alzheimer disease (AD), APP duplications cause autosomal-dominant forms, but the role of CNVs in non-monogenic AD remains poorly characterized. We analyzed rare CNVs (frequency <1%) from 22,319 exomes (4,150 early-onset AD [EOAD, ≤65 years], 8,519 late-onset AD [LOAD], 9,650 unaffected control subjects) using harmonized calling and quality control. After identifying 17 individuals with a pathogenic CNV, we performed exome-wide and gene-set burden analyses. EOAD-affected individuals showed increased burdens of rare CNVs affecting coding genes, particularly deletions in AD-related genes. Integrated loss-of-function (LoF) analysis gathering short truncating variants with deletions showed that ABCA1 (odds ratio [OR] = 5.77 [95% confidence interval 2.25; 17.06], p = 0.0002) and ABCA7 deletions contribute to this deletion burden (OR = 2.29 [1.44; 3.65], p = 0.0006), while CTSB LoF alleles appear as candidates (OR = 5.03 [1.50; 20.71], p = 0.0089). We then performed exome-wide gene-level dosage analysis and highlighted 18 genes across five loci with a false discovery rate of <10%, including the 22q11.21 central region, where deletions were restricted to EOAD (including one de novo event) and duplications were enriched in control individuals, with intermediate frequencies in LOAD. We narrowed this locus to the SCARF2-KLHL22-MED15 region after integrating short truncating variants. Replication in 33,977 affected individuals and 362,322 control subjects confirmed association for 22q11.21 dosage with exome-wide significance (ORSCARF2 = 0.34 [0.21; 0.53]; mega-p value = 5.52 × 10-7). SCARF2 overexpression significantly increased amyloid-β uptake, congruent with duplication-associated decreased AD risk. We conclude that rare coding CNVs in a proportion of AD-associated genes and 22q11.21 deletions, including some found in DiGeorge syndrome, increase AD risk. Conversely, we identify 22q11.21 duplication as a strong AD-risk-decreasing factor.

O. Quenez, Catherine Schramm, K. Cassinari et al. · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Educational attainment and sex modulate clinical outcomes in genetic frontotemporal dementia

Abstract Individuals with autosomal dominant frontotemporal dementia (FTD) exhibit considerable variability in disease onset and progression. Both modifiable and non-modifiable factors—such as sex, educational attainment or geographic region of residence—may contribute to this heterogeneity, potentially through their influence on cognitive reserve. The aim of the present study was to investigate the role of cognitive reserve modulators within the Genetic Frontotemporal dementia Initiative (GENFI) cohort. To this end, we used functional MRI (i.e. spatial chronnectome measures) and neurodegenerative markers (i.e. plasma neurofilament light chains levels) to determine disease stage using a Discriminative Event-Based Model (DEBM). We then examined how potential modulators influence the relationship between disease stage and cognitive performance. We analysed a total of 711 participants, including 106 patients with genetic FTD, 325 presymptomatic mutation carriers and 280 non-carriers healthy controls. Female participants showed a weaker association between disease stage and cognitive performance compared to males (P < 0.001), with difference becoming progressively more pronounced across symptomatic stages. Educational attainment exhibited a similar effect: individuals with higher education demonstrated an attenuated association compared to those with secondary or primary schooling (P < 0.001), with differences already detectable at prodromal disease stages. The effect of geographical region of residence was associated with education levels, but appeared to have an indirect and less strong influence. In summary, sex and educational attainment significantly affect the development and maintenance of cognitive reserve in individuals with genetic FTD. These findings underscore the importance of identifying disease-modifying interventions since the presymptomatic stages of the disease.

E. Premi, Damiano Archetti, A. Redolfi et al. · 0 citations

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